Sun shines, but rain on the way

Rain is expected to break the return of sunshine this week.
Rain is expected to break the return of sunshine this week.

COFFS Harbour has dodged much of the rain that has inundated western and south-east NSW, but according to weather forecasters the flood focus could shift further north.  

In coming days, the heaviest rainfall is expected to move into north-eastern NSW and southern Queensland.

The trough that has brought the torrential rain over the past week has weakened as it heads north-east.

It will continue to bring falls of up to 100mm to certain areas, mainly to the border region and southeast Qld.

The Bureau of Meteorology has this morning issued a strong wind warning, between Cape Byron and Coffs Harbour.  

"A trough is moving along the northern half of the NSW coast, bringing a southerly change," it reported.  

"It is expected to reach the Queensland border during Tuesday morning.

"South to southeasterly winds (reaching 30 knots) will then remain through the week.

The bureau says seas are also increasing up to three metres.

Weatherzone forecasters said the trough with its marked cloud band was positioned across NSW on Sunday.

Places such as Bourke, Cobar, Young, Goulburn and Ulladulla are still receiving some rain, but it is not as intense as in previous days.

The rain is also easing and skies are clearing in the wake of the trough in places like Wilcannia and Wagga Wagga.

Whilst for many locations the rain started a few days before March began, it has given some places an unusually wet start to the month.

A summary of the past four days total rainfall for some NSW locations with its significance are thus:
- Bourke four day total of 87mm, more than double its monthly average
- Wilcannia four day total of 210mm, more than 10 times its monthly average
- Cobar four day total of 70mm, almost three times its monthly average
- Young four day total of 120mm, more than three times its monthly average
- Wagga Wagga four day total of 156mm, more than 3.5 times its monthly average
- Goulburn four day total of 108mm, double its monthly average
- Ulladulla four day total of 160mm more than 1.5 times its monthly average

While the rain for some places started in February this certainly is a wet start of March for most of NSW.

The trough is steadily moving eastwards and northwards in NSW, but the atmosphere has lost the bulk of its moisture.

Rainfall in northeast NSW region is expected to be around 15-50mm, heaviest in the Armidale, Grafton and Coffs Harbour region.

In southeast Qld the trough is combining with a developing coastal depression, which is bringing tropical moisture in the mix and here it will cause heavy rainfall for the next couple of days.

A severe weather warning for heavy rain for the Qld Southeast Coast and parts of the Wide Bay and Burnett district is current.

Heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding is expected to develop and continue through Monday for areas east of the Great Dividing Range and south of Bundaberg.

Twenty-four hour rainfall totals in excess of 150mm are likely, especially about the Sunshine Coast.

Locations which may be affected include Bundaberg, Hervey Bay, Gympie, the Sunshine Coast, Brisbane, the Gold Coast and Ipswich.

Keep checking for the latest warnings and updates.


Topics:  bureau of meteorology coffs harbour south east queensland weatherzone

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